Q3/2025

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Q3/2025

Two cases, bad and worse. The better case consists of a larger hedge of: FTSE100 and 30% of GOOGL; the worse one with a large GLD and 30% of FTSE100.
No currency hedge this stage.

70% GLD with 30% of (FTSE100 / GOOGLE / CRCL)

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  • Stock Market

FTSE100:
✅ Across all MAs, while remaining a weak trend
⚠️ MACD falling, bolling band narrowing, watch (8890)
✅ Smooth almost no gap MAs across, may break trend (up or down?)
8700SL, 8890BK, can speculate at around 8740

  • Commodity

Gold:
⚠️Topping, touching MA60 (3290)
✅ MACD, RSI falling knife but seeing bottom
⚠️ Recent gap at (3250)
BK3450, SL3200 downside

Oil:
⚠️ MA200(68.2) on the top, if break see ~70
✅ MACD negative area narrated, RSI in the low area
✅ Smooth no gap
64.6SL, 68.2BK

Coper:
❌ topping, bad sign for risk assets
⚠️ keep watching BK5.2, risk-on; SL4.85 risk-off

  • Stocks

GOOGLE:
✅ MAs across each other, price ahead all of them
✅ MACD recovering, RSI low
✅ Smooth no gap, upper gap way behind was around 200
SL164, BK200, speculate at 170?

PLTR:
✅ MAs across each other, price ahead all of them
✅ MACD recovering, RSI picking up